Sam DaviesOn average, forecasts by Sam Davies:
- Are 41% away from the existing consensus.
- Move the consensus by 3%.
- Should be scaled 0.950 times towards 50%
- Should be scaled 0.081 times towards the popular consensus
Strongest BeliefsBelow we can see the user forecast vs popular consensus.
|33% vs 64%||
||Linux based Operative Systems will have a larger Market Share than Microsoft by 2050|
Submitted Data Sources